The 2015 census, which was the biggest ever covering as many as 22,000 square km, has found a rise of only 4.4 per cent or 14 lions in the sanctuary and protected forest areas while there has been a mind-boggling increase of 130 per cent or 96 lions in areas of human habitation with increasing commercial activities.
"It is to the credit of the local population that the lions have survived, flourished and grown, but the fact that the growth is happening outside the protected area in what are essentially human-dominated landscapes cannot remain a happy situation forever," points out renowned wildlife expert Ravi Chellam, who has worked extensively on Gir lions.
"We are basically sitting on a time bomb with such exponential growth of lions outside the protected areas and this is spilling into the entire Saurashtra region (eight of the nine districts)," asserts H.S. Singh, a member of the National Board for Wildlife and a veteran Gujarat forest officer.
He says, "The challenge is not just about developing new habitats for the lions, all with prey base and water points, which itself is a Herculean task, but also about managing the near-impossible man-animal conflict which is already happening."
Singh is not wrong. As many as 258 lions have died of accidents and natural reasons between the previous census in 2010 and the count now.
"This statistic is adequate to understand the magnitude of the challenge that lies ahead and serves us a reminder that we must relocate some lions," says a senior official, who does not wish to be named as the state has made it a prestige issue in the Supreme Court with the argument that it will not part with Gujarat's lions.
The death figure suggests that the clash of the carnivore with human population and its economic activities has become inevitable. There are high-speed railway lines going to Pipavav Port in Amreli district, which has registered the maximum increase in the number of lions. Besides, there are five state highways passing through the forests.