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African lions are one of the world’s favourite animals. But their
numbers have been shrinking over the past century, especially over the
past 30 years. Some scientists estimate that their numbers have halved
since 1994. Estimates of the total population of Africa’s king of beasts
vary, but a recent CITES report suggested that only about 25,000 remain
in the wild, across 102 populations in Africa. But the numbers in this
report aren’t particularly reliable. Most used traditional survey
approaches – like counts of lion footprints, audio lure surveys or
expert opinion – and many were not peer-reviewed. These traditional
methods of counting lions produce highly uncertain estimates. A count of
lions using their footprints may give you an estimate of, say, 50 lions
in an area. But the uncertainty around this estimate could be between
15 and 100 individuals. This large uncertainty makes tracking how lion
populations change from year to year nearly impossible. Our recent
review shows that the majority of methods used to count African and
Asiatic lions use these less robust methods.
https://africa.com/roll-call-for-africas-lions-proving-to-be-hard/
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